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Watch and Bet / The replay
The clip, the window, the archive
The replay: what survives after the picture stops
When the picture stops the stream does not vanish. A clip is made, kept for a window and offered beside the result, and the thing that decides whether it is kept at all is the rights, not the reader.
Desk spec
- clip length
- 45 s
- clip weight
- 16.9 MB
- window
- 7 days
- owns the clip
- the rights holder
the pictureA live picture is a licensed broadcast shown beside a market, not a window onto the event. It has an owner, a territory and a cost, and only 96 of 300 events in the month carry one.
the two clocksThe event happens at 0.0 s, the price refreshes at 0.2 s and the picture arrives at 12.0 s, so the number beside the picture is 11.8 seconds newer than the picture it sits beside.
the one sourceThree things describe an event - the picture, the data feed and the official result - and only the official result settles a bet. The picture looked decisive in 96 of 100 disputes and settled none of them.
Direct answerAfter a streamed event the picture usually survives as a clip kept for a fixed window - seven days on the samples - and then removed. The clip belongs to the rights holder rather than to the operator or the reader, it weighs about 16.9 megabytes at 45 seconds, and however decisive it looks it does not settle a bet: the official result does.
What is kept, and for how long
A replay is a new object with its own terms, not the stream kept running. It is cut from the picture, stored for a window, and then deleted on a schedule set by the licence. Whether a reader can download it, share it or keep it depends on the same rights that decided whether it could be watched.
Sample I - what survives a streamed event, and for how long
| What is kept | Kept for | Who may use it | What it is for |
|---|
| the live picture | while it plays | a signed-in account | following the event |
| the clip | 7 days | the operator and the account | a result reference |
| the highlight | until the rights lapse | the rights holder | publicity |
| the full archive | not kept | - | nothing: the licence does not allow it |
| three of four survive | 7 days at most | two parties | the archive never does |
sample I - the clip, sized from the bitrate
a 45-second clip at 3.0 Mbps = 3,000,000 x 45 / 8 = 16,875,000 bytes
= 16.9 MB
the same 45 seconds at 0.8 Mbps is 4.5 MB (26.7% of it)
and at 12.0 Mbps is 67.5 MB (4 times it, a 15x range)
so a clip weighs 15 times as much at the top rung as at the bottom,
exactly like the stream it was cut from.
A replay is not evidence
The replay is the most convincing object in a dispute and the least authoritative. It shows one camera, at one angle, at a moment that may sit either side of the line the rules draw. The official result comes from a different source entirely, and where the picture and the result disagree, the result governs.
sample H and I - the clip against the result
disputed results examined = 100
cases where the picture looked decisive = 96 -> 96.0%
cases where the picture governed the settlement = 0 -> 0.0%
so in 96 of 100 disputes the picture looked decisive and decided nothing,
and the official result decided 100 of 100:
the replay is kept for 7 days and settles 0 bets in 7 days.
Check a replay before you treat it as the record
- Is this the clip the operator kept, or a highlight the rights holder published?
- What is the window, and has it already expired?
- Does the replay show the same moment the official result describes?
- Who owns the clip, and does the operator say so?
- Would the market settle differently if the replay did not exist at all?
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